Dan's Bitcoin Lab

Model readLoading…Waiting for market data

Buy watch zone—Lower volatility band

Fair-value area—20-period mean

Sell watch zone—Upper volatility band

Active tested strategyLoading…$100 trading pot · $400 protected · next —

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Candle width

Building the market viewLoading deeper history…

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Seven-day live Bitcoin paper trial

Starting the live one-minute feed…

7 daysremaining

Current trading pot$100.00$400 remains protected

Profit or lossEVEN $0.00Including open position, fees and funding

Open positionFLATWaiting for a signal

Latest actionWAITStarting now

Completed trades00 wins

Fees$0.003× notional fees

Funding$0.00Open-position carrying cost

Profit protectionNot armedActivates after a fee-adjusted gain

3× paper leverageApplied to the trading pot when a position is open; the protected $400 is not used.

TP1 · take half—Next Dan trade · 0.6% BTC move

TP2 · close rest—Next Dan trade · 1.2% BTC move

Dan’s method: Jev reviews early second-peak rejection candidates after a pullback, bearish candle close and weakening RSI or MACD, even before the five-minute trend turns. These are review signals, not automatic shorts. Long breakouts require Jev review and cost-adjusted room. TP1 closes half at a 0.6% favourable BTC move and TP2 closes the rest at 1.2%, with fees counted. A fee-aware trailing peak protects gains; the 10% adverse-price stop remains the emergency backstop. Zac remains fully autonomous.

Time	Action	Bitcoin price	Position	Trading pot	Profit / loss	Fee this action	Total fees	Explanation
Waiting for the first completed one-minute candle.

Jev chooses direction on every completed one-minute candle

Zac’s autonomous Bitcoin portfolio

Starting the independent seven-day paper experiment…

7 days0 / 10,080 maximum calls

Current trading pot$100.00$400 protected and unavailable

Unrealized P&L$0.00No open position

Total trading fees$0.00All opening, closing and reversal fees

Jev positionFLATWaiting for its first decision

Latest decision—One decision per completed candle

Closed trades00 wins

Jev input0$0.000000 API cost

Bitcoin benchmark0.00%BTC movement since experiment start

3× paper leverageApplied to the trading pot when a position is open; the protected $400 is not used.

Autonomous design: Lower and upper RSI setups arm only when observed live. Trades occur on the subsequent confirmed one-minute rebound or rollover, never by looking backward after a move has already happened. The emergency stop always overrides.

Time	Jev decision	Applied	BTC price	Position	Pot	Profit / loss	Fee this action	Total fees	Probabilities / explanation
Waiting for Jev’s first completed-candle decision.

Zac method: independent $100 paper pot · one Jev request per completed one-minute candle with five-minute and longer trend context · maximum 10,080 calls · seven days · 3× leverage · long and short · full fees, slippage and funding · emergency 10% adverse-price stop · no real orders. All prices, balances, P&L and fees are in USD.

Jev experiment lab

1,000 randomized strategy backtests

Preparing the fixed-stake experiment…

0 / 1,000experiments complete

Trading-pot average—Best strategy across periods

Profitable periods—Out-of-sample hit rate

Average fees—Paid only by the trading pot

Active strategy—Waiting for samples

Jev input—Tokens measured by OpenRouter

Jev cost—Output tokens are free

Optimization rounds will appear here.

#	Prompt strategy	Test period	Jev preset	Pot return	Buy & hold	Orders	Win rate	Fees	Drawdown
Experiments will appear here as Jev completes them.

Method: 100 randomized 30-day periods × 10 strategy prompts · the $100 trading pot compounds its own gains and losses · the other $400 is never available to the strategy · 60-day warm-up · 0.10% fee + 0.05% simulated slippage per order · one-hour signals · no real orders.

Original monthly discovery

Monthly Jev scout · 1×

Thirty-day exploratory runs using one-hour candles and the original unleveraged $100 pot.

0 / 10monthly scouts complete

Best trading pot—Started at $100

Best scout—No preset technical thresholds

Orders—Two orders per round trip

Modeled fees—0.10% each order

Winning entry clue2.6 visitsAverage lower-zone episodes

Losing entry clue1.75 visitsOversold alone was insufficient

What Jev discovered: Trade count was not the deciding factor. Fee-aware selection produced 16 orders and +17.56%, while micro-swing trading used 20 orders and lost 10.95%. Repeated lower-zone visits plus wider volatility separated winners better than RSI alone.

#	Scout prompt	Phase	Test period	Pot return	Ending pot	Orders	Wins	Fees
Scout experiments are loading.

Monthly method: one-hour candles · thirty-day test · 60-day warm-up · 1× unleveraged pot · exploratory periods differed, so this page remains discovery evidence rather than equal-period validation.

Signal-only five-minute long + short research

3× Three-Month Jev lab

Jev trades only confirmed buy and sell signals.

0 / 25three-month validations complete

Best three-month pot—Started at $100

Leading signal strategy—Five shared periods

Orders—Signal-only long and short

Trading fees—Full 3× notional

Funding—0.01% per eight hours

Liquidations—5% maintenance margin

Validation is running: Five strategies are being compared on the same five weeks.

#	Weekly strategy	Shared week	Start date	Pot return	Ending pot	Orders	Wins	Fees
Five-minute weekly experiments are loading.

Three-month method: five-minute candles · trades only on confirmed buy-zone reclaim, sell-zone rejection, or momentum-failure signals · 90-day test with the previous week as context · SMA 5/20/50/200 · EMA 9/21 · volatility bands · buy/fair-value/sell zones · VWAP · MACD · ATR · stochastic · RSI · volume and multi-period returns · 3× paper leverage with full-notional fees, slippage, funding, maintenance margin and liquidation.